✗ Disagree
On claims that quantum computers will break Bitcoin by 2027
Our Verdict
✗ Disagree: We think this take is incorrect
The Take
A prominent crypto commentator claims that Bitcoin will be “completely broken” by quantum computers within 2 years.
Our Response
This timeline is not supported by any credible quantum computing research. Here’s why:
Current State of Quantum Computing
- Largest quantum computers: ~1,000+ noisy qubits
- Required for breaking Bitcoin’s ECDSA: Millions of error-corrected qubits
- Current error rates: Far too high for cryptographic attacks
Realistic Timeline
Most experts estimate cryptographically-relevant quantum computers are 10-20+ years away, not 2 years.
The Real Risk
While the 2027 timeline is FUD, the long-term threat is real. Bitcoin developers should be planning migration strategies now, not panicking about imminent collapse.
Verdict: Disagree - The timeline is wildly unrealistic, even if the underlying concern has merit.